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美国会指责伊朗袭击奥斯陆大使馆吗?

Market icon

美国会指责伊朗袭击奥斯陆大使馆吗?

12% chance
Polymarket

$347,974 交易量

12% chance
Polymarket

$347,974 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.

Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.

The primary resolution source will be official government statements.

Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
交易量
$347,974
市场开放时间
Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services. Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack. The primary resolution source will be official government statements. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.

Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.

The primary resolution source will be official government statements.

Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
交易量
$347,974
市场开放时间
Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services. Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack. The primary resolution source will be official government statements. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"美国会指责伊朗袭击奥斯陆大使馆吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"美国会指责伊朗策划奥斯陆使馆袭击吗?",概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 12¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 12%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"美国会指责伊朗袭击奥斯陆大使馆吗?"已产生 $348K 的总交易量(自Mar 8, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"美国会指责伊朗袭击奥斯陆大使馆吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"美国会指责伊朗袭击奥斯陆大使馆吗?"的当前领先者是"美国会指责伊朗策划奥斯陆使馆袭击吗?",概率为 12%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"美国会指责伊朗袭击奥斯陆大使馆吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。