Arkansas’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in northeastern rural and agricultural counties, where the partisan composition has produced consistent GOP margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, seeking a ninth term, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary with strong fundraising and institutional support, while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist, faces limited resources and infrastructure in a district last won by Republicans with roughly 73 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the absence of competitive polling or major developments since primaries concluded. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee overwhelming probability because historical voting patterns and low Democratic turnout infrastructure have held firm. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts have not materialized in prior cycles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$26,556 Vol.
$26,556 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
<1%
$26,556 Vol.
$26,556 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$16,297 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$10,259 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arkansas’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in northeastern rural and agricultural counties, where the partisan composition has produced consistent GOP margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, seeking a ninth term, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary with strong fundraising and institutional support, while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist, faces limited resources and infrastructure in a district last won by Republicans with roughly 73 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the absence of competitive polling or major developments since primaries concluded. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee overwhelming probability because historical voting patterns and low Democratic turnout infrastructure have held firm. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts have not materialized in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ভলিউম
$26,556শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arkansas’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in northeastern rural and agricultural counties, where the partisan composition has produced consistent GOP margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, seeking a ninth term, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary with strong fundraising and institutional support, while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist, faces limited resources and infrastructure in a district last won by Republicans with roughly 73 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the absence of competitive polling or major developments since primaries concluded. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee overwhelming probability because historical voting patterns and low Democratic turnout infrastructure have held firm. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts have not materialized in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$26,556শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Arkansas’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in northeastern rural and agricultural counties, where the partisan composition has produced consistent GOP margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, seeking a ninth term, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary with strong fundraising and institutional support, while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist, faces limited resources and infrastructure in a district last won by Republicans with roughly 73 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the absence of competitive polling or major developments since primaries concluded. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee overwhelming probability because historical voting patterns and low Democratic turnout infrastructure have held firm. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts have not materialized in prior cycles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা