Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race, with traders assigning a 94.9% implied probability to a Republican victory. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's strong primary performance and established incumbency, underpin the market consensus. Recent polling shows Cotton maintaining a lead despite one closer survey, while nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safely Republican. A Democratic upset would require significant shifts such as a major candidate-specific development, unexpected turnout surge among opposition voters, or late national political realignment within the final months before the November election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডArkansas Senate Election Winner
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
$16,047 Vol.
$16,047 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
5%
$16,047 Vol.
$16,047 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$12,081 Vol.
95%
Democrat
$3,965 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race, with traders assigning a 94.9% implied probability to a Republican victory. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's strong primary performance and established incumbency, underpin the market consensus. Recent polling shows Cotton maintaining a lead despite one closer survey, while nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safely Republican. A Democratic upset would require significant shifts such as a major candidate-specific development, unexpected turnout surge among opposition voters, or late national political realignment within the final months before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$16,047শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race, with traders assigning a 94.9% implied probability to a Republican victory. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's strong primary performance and established incumbency, underpin the market consensus. Recent polling shows Cotton maintaining a lead despite one closer survey, while nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safely Republican. A Democratic upset would require significant shifts such as a major candidate-specific development, unexpected turnout surge among opposition voters, or late national political realignment within the final months before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$16,047শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race, with traders assigning a 94.9% implied probability to a Republican victory. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's strong primary performance and established incumbency, underpin the market consensus. Recent polling shows Cotton maintaining a lead despite one closer survey, while nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safely Republican. A Democratic upset would require significant shifts such as a major candidate-specific development, unexpected turnout surge among opposition voters, or late national political realignment within the final months before the November election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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