Incumbent Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville's decision to run for governor has opened Alabama's Senate seat, but trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93.5% reflecting the state's deep-red status—Trump won by 30 points in 2024 and no Democrat has won here since 1992. Recent polls show Rep. Barry Moore leading the crowded GOP primary at 24-26% ahead of AG Steve Marshall and Jared Hudson, boosted by a Trump endorsement, with the May 19 primary poised to select a strong nominee against a fragmented Democratic field lacking prominent challengers. While scandals, a weak GOP turnout, or a national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow odds, historical base rates and polling trends indicate formidable barriers to a Democratic upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$6,086 Vol.
94%
Democrat
$3,738 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville's decision to run for governor has opened Alabama's Senate seat, but trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93.5% reflecting the state's deep-red status—Trump won by 30 points in 2024 and no Democrat has won here since 1992. Recent polls show Rep. Barry Moore leading the crowded GOP primary at 24-26% ahead of AG Steve Marshall and Jared Hudson, boosted by a Trump endorsement, with the May 19 primary poised to select a strong nominee against a fragmented Democratic field lacking prominent challengers. While scandals, a weak GOP turnout, or a national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow odds, historical base rates and polling trends indicate formidable barriers to a Democratic upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$9,824শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville's decision to run for governor has opened Alabama's Senate seat, but trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93.5% reflecting the state's deep-red status—Trump won by 30 points in 2024 and no Democrat has won here since 1992. Recent polls show Rep. Barry Moore leading the crowded GOP primary at 24-26% ahead of AG Steve Marshall and Jared Hudson, boosted by a Trump endorsement, with the May 19 primary poised to select a strong nominee against a fragmented Democratic field lacking prominent challengers. While scandals, a weak GOP turnout, or a national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow odds, historical base rates and polling trends indicate formidable barriers to a Democratic upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$9,824শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville's decision to run for governor has opened Alabama's Senate seat, but trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93.5% reflecting the state's deep-red status—Trump won by 30 points in 2024 and no Democrat has won here since 1992. Recent polls show Rep. Barry Moore leading the crowded GOP primary at 24-26% ahead of AG Steve Marshall and Jared Hudson, boosted by a Trump endorsement, with the May 19 primary poised to select a strong nominee against a fragmented Democratic field lacking prominent challengers. While scandals, a weak GOP turnout, or a national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow odds, historical base rates and polling trends indicate formidable barriers to a Democratic upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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