Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs, first elected in 2020 and representing a San Diego-area district with a pronounced Democratic lean, advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 58 percent of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. Cabrera's primary showing established him as the general-election opponent, yet fundraising gaps, voter registration advantages, and the absence of competitive polling keep the race non-competitive in most assessments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event affecting Jacobs, or an unusually strong Republican national environment that boosts turnout in suburban precincts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-51 House Election Winner
CA-51 House Election Winner
$28,957 Vol.
$28,957 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$28,957 Vol.
$28,957 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,910 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$14,046 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs, first elected in 2020 and representing a San Diego-area district with a pronounced Democratic lean, advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 58 percent of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. Cabrera's primary showing established him as the general-election opponent, yet fundraising gaps, voter registration advantages, and the absence of competitive polling keep the race non-competitive in most assessments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event affecting Jacobs, or an unusually strong Republican national environment that boosts turnout in suburban precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$28,957শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs, first elected in 2020 and representing a San Diego-area district with a pronounced Democratic lean, advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 58 percent of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. Cabrera's primary showing established him as the general-election opponent, yet fundraising gaps, voter registration advantages, and the absence of competitive polling keep the race non-competitive in most assessments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event affecting Jacobs, or an unusually strong Republican national environment that boosts turnout in suburban precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$28,957শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs, first elected in 2020 and representing a San Diego-area district with a pronounced Democratic lean, advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 58 percent of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. Cabrera's primary showing established him as the general-election opponent, yet fundraising gaps, voter registration advantages, and the absence of competitive polling keep the race non-competitive in most assessments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event affecting Jacobs, or an unusually strong Republican national environment that boosts turnout in suburban precincts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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