Traders assign a 97.5% probability against abolishing the Federal Reserve before 2027 primarily because of the high institutional barriers involved. Eliminating the central bank would require new legislation clearing both chambers of Congress, including overcoming potential Senate filibusters, followed by presidential approval, all within a narrow window of roughly four months. No major bills, committee actions, or official proposals advancing such reform have emerged in recent political developments. Historical precedent shows central bank structures endure through administrations due to their role in monetary policy and financial stability. While an unprecedented economic crisis or sudden congressional realignment could theoretically prompt emergency measures, current conditions make rapid structural change improbable.