U.S. authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military raid in Caracas and indicted him in Manhattan federal court on narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges tied to alleged long-running cartel ties. He and his wife have pleaded not guilty and remain detained pending trial, now scheduled for June 2027. Traders price “no prison time” narrowly ahead of “60+” years because Maduro’s September 2, 2026, motions seek dismissal on sovereign-immunity and capture-legality grounds, arguments experts view as uphill yet capable of producing prolonged litigation or political resolution. A strong prosecution case and potential life-sentence exposure support elevated odds for lengthy imprisonment, while the distant trial date, pending procedural rulings, and shifting bilateral dynamics keep the two leading outcomes closely matched.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডকারাদণ্ড নয় 42%
৬০+ 35%
২০–৪০ 12.3%
৪০–৬০ 6.8%
$677,192 Vol.
$677,192 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
কারাদণ্ড নয়
42%
<২০
6%
২০–৪০
12%
৪০–৬০
7%
৬০+
35%
কারাদণ্ড নয় 42%
৬০+ 35%
২০–৪০ 12.3%
৪০–৬০ 6.8%
$677,192 Vol.
$677,192 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
কারাদণ্ড নয়
$438,266 Vol.
42%
<২০
$106,905 Vol.
6%
২০–৪০
$56,598 Vol.
12%
৪০–৬০
$24,386 Vol.
7%
৬০+
$51,037 Vol.
35%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military raid in Caracas and indicted him in Manhattan federal court on narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges tied to alleged long-running cartel ties. He and his wife have pleaded not guilty and remain detained pending trial, now scheduled for June 2027. Traders price “no prison time” narrowly ahead of “60+” years because Maduro’s September 2, 2026, motions seek dismissal on sovereign-immunity and capture-legality grounds, arguments experts view as uphill yet capable of producing prolonged litigation or political resolution. A strong prosecution case and potential life-sentence exposure support elevated odds for lengthy imprisonment, while the distant trial date, pending procedural rulings, and shifting bilateral dynamics keep the two leading outcomes closely matched.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$677,192শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military raid in Caracas and indicted him in Manhattan federal court on narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges tied to alleged long-running cartel ties. He and his wife have pleaded not guilty and remain detained pending trial, now scheduled for June 2027. Traders price “no prison time” narrowly ahead of “60+” years because Maduro’s September 2, 2026, motions seek dismissal on sovereign-immunity and capture-legality grounds, arguments experts view as uphill yet capable of producing prolonged litigation or political resolution. A strong prosecution case and potential life-sentence exposure support elevated odds for lengthy imprisonment, while the distant trial date, pending procedural rulings, and shifting bilateral dynamics keep the two leading outcomes closely matched.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$677,192শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military raid in Caracas and indicted him in Manhattan federal court on narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges tied to alleged long-running cartel ties. He and his wife have pleaded not guilty and remain detained pending trial, now scheduled for June 2027. Traders price “no prison time” narrowly ahead of “60+” years because Maduro’s September 2, 2026, motions seek dismissal on sovereign-immunity and capture-legality grounds, arguments experts view as uphill yet capable of producing prolonged litigation or political resolution. A strong prosecution case and potential life-sentence exposure support elevated odds for lengthy imprisonment, while the distant trial date, pending procedural rulings, and shifting bilateral dynamics keep the two leading outcomes closely matched.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা