Recent National Weather Service normals place the average high for August 18 in Chicago at 82.5°F, yet current model guidance and short-range forecasts from AccuWeather and regional outlets indicate highs near 80–82°F amid a cooler air mass and possible afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers. This pattern follows several days of below-normal readings in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the absence of the strong heat dome that drove earlier summer extremes. The market’s heaviest weighting on 80–81°F (43.5%) and 82–83°F (25.5%) therefore reflects trader consensus around near-normal to slightly suppressed values, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes given the latest model runs and lack of reinforcing high-pressure ridging. Updated NWS and ensemble forecasts issued on August 17 will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on August 18?
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 9%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 9%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service normals place the average high for August 18 in Chicago at 82.5°F, yet current model guidance and short-range forecasts from AccuWeather and regional outlets indicate highs near 80–82°F amid a cooler air mass and possible afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers. This pattern follows several days of below-normal readings in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the absence of the strong heat dome that drove earlier summer extremes. The market’s heaviest weighting on 80–81°F (43.5%) and 82–83°F (25.5%) therefore reflects trader consensus around near-normal to slightly suppressed values, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes given the latest model runs and lack of reinforcing high-pressure ridging. Updated NWS and ensemble forecasts issued on August 17 will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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