The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates weather patterns over Metro Manila, sustaining extensive cloud cover and scattered convective showers that reduce solar insolation and cap daytime maxima. PAGASA outlooks and extended model guidance indicate highs most likely between 28–30°C on August 8, consistent with recent days under similar monsoonal flow and below the long-term August average near 31°C. This setup explains the market’s strong clustering at 29°C (48.5%) and 28°C (28.5%), with 30°C trailing at 15.5%, as traders weigh the probability of partial clearing versus continued widespread cloudiness that historically suppresses temperatures in the capital during peak habagat conditions.