Persistent southwest monsoon activity over the Philippines, with its associated cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels near 80-95%, represents the dominant influence on Manila's expected maximum temperature for September 11. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limit peak solar insolation, keeping afternoon highs clustered around 29-31°C rather than allowing stronger surface heating. Minor variations in the timing and extent of any breaks in cloudiness or convective rain explain the tight spread in market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C, as even modest differences in radiative forcing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet the active monsoon regime introduces greater day-to-day variability than drier periods. Updated model guidance from PAGASA and international centers on the morning of September 11 will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on September 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 11?
31°C 27%
30°C 26%
32°C 17%
29°C 15%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
15%
30°C
26%
31°C
27%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 27%
30°C 26%
32°C 17%
29°C 15%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$221 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$419 Vol.
1%
26°C
$62 Vol.
2%
27°C
$97 Vol.
4%
28°C
$77 Vol.
6%
29°C
$158 Vol.
15%
30°C
$906 Vol.
26%
31°C
$248 Vol.
27%
32°C
$356 Vol.
17%
33°C
$236 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$123 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over the Philippines, with its associated cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels near 80-95%, represents the dominant influence on Manila's expected maximum temperature for September 11. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limit peak solar insolation, keeping afternoon highs clustered around 29-31°C rather than allowing stronger surface heating. Minor variations in the timing and extent of any breaks in cloudiness or convective rain explain the tight spread in market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C, as even modest differences in radiative forcing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet the active monsoon regime introduces greater day-to-day variability than drier periods. Updated model guidance from PAGASA and international centers on the morning of September 11 will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,902শেষ তারিখ
Sep 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over the Philippines, with its associated cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels near 80-95%, represents the dominant influence on Manila's expected maximum temperature for September 11. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limit peak solar insolation, keeping afternoon highs clustered around 29-31°C rather than allowing stronger surface heating. Minor variations in the timing and extent of any breaks in cloudiness or convective rain explain the tight spread in market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C, as even modest differences in radiative forcing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet the active monsoon regime introduces greater day-to-day variability than drier periods. Updated model guidance from PAGASA and international centers on the morning of September 11 will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,902শেষ তারিখ
Sep 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity over the Philippines, with its associated cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels near 80-95%, represents the dominant influence on Manila's expected maximum temperature for September 11. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limit peak solar insolation, keeping afternoon highs clustered around 29-31°C rather than allowing stronger surface heating. Minor variations in the timing and extent of any breaks in cloudiness or convective rain explain the tight spread in market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C, as even modest differences in radiative forcing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet the active monsoon regime introduces greater day-to-day variability than drier periods. Updated model guidance from PAGASA and international centers on the morning of September 11 will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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