Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs point to a ridge of high pressure maintaining southerly flow and clear skies over northern France, favoring afternoon maxima near 34–35 °C in Paris on August 12. This setup follows several days of elevated readings (including 33 °C on August 9) under similar subsidence and warm advection, with limited cloud cover and light winds reducing mixing and allowing strong daytime heating. Climatological August highs average 25–26 °C, but the current pattern remains above baseline, consistent with Météo-France’s seasonal outlook for warmer-than-average conditions. Trader consensus centers on 35 °C (49 % implied probability) because further intensification would require stronger ridging or urban heat-island amplification, while a drop to 33 °C or below would need unforecasted marine air or increased cloudiness—scenarios not supported by the latest model consensus. Updated short-range runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine these odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on August 12?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 12?
35°C 49%
34°C 25%
36°C 16%
33°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 12, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
25%
35°C
49%
36°C
16%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 49%
34°C 25%
36°C 16%
33°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 12, 2026
29°C or below
$1,448 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$387 Vol.
1%
32°C
$33 Vol.
3%
33°C
$115 Vol.
8%
34°C
$158 Vol.
25%
35°C
$338 Vol.
49%
36°C
$89 Vol.
16%
37°C
$53 Vol.
3%
38°C
$57 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$33 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs point to a ridge of high pressure maintaining southerly flow and clear skies over northern France, favoring afternoon maxima near 34–35 °C in Paris on August 12. This setup follows several days of elevated readings (including 33 °C on August 9) under similar subsidence and warm advection, with limited cloud cover and light winds reducing mixing and allowing strong daytime heating. Climatological August highs average 25–26 °C, but the current pattern remains above baseline, consistent with Météo-France’s seasonal outlook for warmer-than-average conditions. Trader consensus centers on 35 °C (49 % implied probability) because further intensification would require stronger ridging or urban heat-island amplification, while a drop to 33 °C or below would need unforecasted marine air or increased cloudiness—scenarios not supported by the latest model consensus. Updated short-range runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,744শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs point to a ridge of high pressure maintaining southerly flow and clear skies over northern France, favoring afternoon maxima near 34–35 °C in Paris on August 12. This setup follows several days of elevated readings (including 33 °C on August 9) under similar subsidence and warm advection, with limited cloud cover and light winds reducing mixing and allowing strong daytime heating. Climatological August highs average 25–26 °C, but the current pattern remains above baseline, consistent with Météo-France’s seasonal outlook for warmer-than-average conditions. Trader consensus centers on 35 °C (49 % implied probability) because further intensification would require stronger ridging or urban heat-island amplification, while a drop to 33 °C or below would need unforecasted marine air or increased cloudiness—scenarios not supported by the latest model consensus. Updated short-range runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,744শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs point to a ridge of high pressure maintaining southerly flow and clear skies over northern France, favoring afternoon maxima near 34–35 °C in Paris on August 12. This setup follows several days of elevated readings (including 33 °C on August 9) under similar subsidence and warm advection, with limited cloud cover and light winds reducing mixing and allowing strong daytime heating. Climatological August highs average 25–26 °C, but the current pattern remains above baseline, consistent with Météo-France’s seasonal outlook for warmer-than-average conditions. Trader consensus centers on 35 °C (49 % implied probability) because further intensification would require stronger ridging or urban heat-island amplification, while a drop to 33 °C or below would need unforecasted marine air or increased cloudiness—scenarios not supported by the latest model consensus. Updated short-range runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine these odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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