Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in São Paulo on August 13, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 65%. This reflects a warm late-winter pattern where subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover allow greater solar heating than the seasonal average of 23–25°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable low-level moisture and wind patterns, with limited risk of cooler advection keeping probabilities for 28°C or below under 15%. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
31°C 17%
28°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
42%
30°C
27%
31°C
17%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
31°C 17%
28°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
42%
30°C
27%
31°C
17%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in São Paulo on August 13, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 65%. This reflects a warm late-winter pattern where subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover allow greater solar heating than the seasonal average of 23–25°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable low-level moisture and wind patterns, with limited risk of cooler advection keeping probabilities for 28°C or below under 15%. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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