JMA seasonal outlooks and short-range models point to persistent high pressure over Honshu driving above-normal August temperatures in Tokyo, positioning the market's leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes as the consensus range for the daily maximum on August 6. Recent observations, including a 33°C peak on August 2, align with this pattern amid typical midsummer humidity that amplifies surface heating. Key variables include forecast cloud cover, which could cap peaks near 31°C, versus clearer skies favoring 34°C under stronger subsidence. Official JMA station readings at Otemachi will determine resolution, with traders weighing model agreement on steering patterns against inherent variability in convective activity.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
32°C 39%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
39%
33°C
32%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
39%
33°C
32%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...JMA seasonal outlooks and short-range models point to persistent high pressure over Honshu driving above-normal August temperatures in Tokyo, positioning the market's leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes as the consensus range for the daily maximum on August 6. Recent observations, including a 33°C peak on August 2, align with this pattern amid typical midsummer humidity that amplifies surface heating. Key variables include forecast cloud cover, which could cap peaks near 31°C, versus clearer skies favoring 34°C under stronger subsidence. Official JMA station readings at Otemachi will determine resolution, with traders weighing model agreement on steering patterns against inherent variability in convective activity.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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