Latest NWS and model guidance for New York City points to a warm, humid night on August 5–6 under southerly flow and lingering moisture, with forecast overnight lows centered in the mid-70s. This setup follows a period of above-average August temperatures across the Northeast, limiting radiational cooling and keeping minimum readings elevated compared with seasonal norms near 68–70 °F. Ensemble consensus shows little support for a significant cool-air intrusion before dawn on the 6th, reinforcing trader positioning toward the 76–77 °F bin (55.5 % implied) while assigning lower probability to cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will be the next key inputs ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 6?
76-77°F 56%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 5%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 56%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 5%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NWS and model guidance for New York City points to a warm, humid night on August 5–6 under southerly flow and lingering moisture, with forecast overnight lows centered in the mid-70s. This setup follows a period of above-average August temperatures across the Northeast, limiting radiational cooling and keeping minimum readings elevated compared with seasonal norms near 68–70 °F. Ensemble consensus shows little support for a significant cool-air intrusion before dawn on the 6th, reinforcing trader positioning toward the 76–77 °F bin (55.5 % implied) while assigning lower probability to cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will be the next key inputs ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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