Incumbent Republican Mike Bost faces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier in Illinois's 12th congressional district, a southern Illinois seat covering areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon that has consistently favored Republicans. Bost secured 74 percent of the vote in 2024 and advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments through mid-2026. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national political wave, significant candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the established voting patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$18,824 Vol.
$18,824 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$18,824 Vol.
$18,824 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,119 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$10,705 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost faces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier in Illinois's 12th congressional district, a southern Illinois seat covering areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon that has consistently favored Republicans. Bost secured 74 percent of the vote in 2024 and advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments through mid-2026. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national political wave, significant candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$18,824শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost faces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier in Illinois's 12th congressional district, a southern Illinois seat covering areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon that has consistently favored Republicans. Bost secured 74 percent of the vote in 2024 and advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments through mid-2026. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national political wave, significant candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$18,824শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost faces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier in Illinois's 12th congressional district, a southern Illinois seat covering areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon that has consistently favored Republicans. Bost secured 74 percent of the vote in 2024 and advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments through mid-2026. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national political wave, significant candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the established voting patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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