Illinois' longstanding Democratic dominance in U.S. Senate races—no Republican victory since 1998—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee following Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's decisive March 17 primary win over a crowded field, backed by Gov. J.B. Pritzker's endorsement and strong urban turnout. The open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Dick Durbin remains a safe hold in the deep-blue state, where Chicago's Cook County reliably delivers overwhelming Democratic margins. GOP nominee Don Tracy, former state party chair, faces steep historical barriers. Odds could shift with a major Stratton scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or depressed Democratic turnout, though such upsets are rare absent extraordinary catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$21,600 Vol.
$21,600 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
7%
$21,600 Vol.
$21,600 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$10,907 Vol.
94%
Republican
$10,694 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois' longstanding Democratic dominance in U.S. Senate races—no Republican victory since 1998—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee following Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's decisive March 17 primary win over a crowded field, backed by Gov. J.B. Pritzker's endorsement and strong urban turnout. The open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Dick Durbin remains a safe hold in the deep-blue state, where Chicago's Cook County reliably delivers overwhelming Democratic margins. GOP nominee Don Tracy, former state party chair, faces steep historical barriers. Odds could shift with a major Stratton scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or depressed Democratic turnout, though such upsets are rare absent extraordinary catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$21,600শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois' longstanding Democratic dominance in U.S. Senate races—no Republican victory since 1998—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee following Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's decisive March 17 primary win over a crowded field, backed by Gov. J.B. Pritzker's endorsement and strong urban turnout. The open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Dick Durbin remains a safe hold in the deep-blue state, where Chicago's Cook County reliably delivers overwhelming Democratic margins. GOP nominee Don Tracy, former state party chair, faces steep historical barriers. Odds could shift with a major Stratton scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or depressed Democratic turnout, though such upsets are rare absent extraordinary catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$21,600শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois' longstanding Democratic dominance in U.S. Senate races—no Republican victory since 1998—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee following Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's decisive March 17 primary win over a crowded field, backed by Gov. J.B. Pritzker's endorsement and strong urban turnout. The open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Dick Durbin remains a safe hold in the deep-blue state, where Chicago's Cook County reliably delivers overwhelming Democratic margins. GOP nominee Don Tracy, former state party chair, faces steep historical barriers. Odds could shift with a major Stratton scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or depressed Democratic turnout, though such upsets are rare absent extraordinary catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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