**Short-term ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show the overnight minimum in Ankara on September 17 clustered between roughly 13–16 °C, producing the tight market distribution around those bins.** Cloud cover and light showers expected from an approaching frontal system will limit radiative cooling compared with clear-sky nights, while surface winds and dew-point values near 12–14 °C further constrain how low temperatures can fall. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance currently lists 13 °C, aligning with the lower-probability outcomes traders are pricing at 21 %. Historical September lows for the city average near 12–14 °C, so the current spread largely reflects model timing differences on precipitation and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale regime shifts. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations through September 16 will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
16°C 39%
14°C 31%
13°C 21%
15°C 21%
11°C or below
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
21%
14°C
31%
15°C
21%
16°C
39%
17°C
19%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
5%
16°C 39%
14°C 31%
13°C 21%
15°C 21%
11°C or below
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
21%
14°C
31%
15°C
21%
16°C
39%
17°C
19%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show the overnight minimum in Ankara on September 17 clustered between roughly 13–16 °C, producing the tight market distribution around those bins.** Cloud cover and light showers expected from an approaching frontal system will limit radiative cooling compared with clear-sky nights, while surface winds and dew-point values near 12–14 °C further constrain how low temperatures can fall. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance currently lists 13 °C, aligning with the lower-probability outcomes traders are pricing at 21 %. Historical September lows for the city average near 12–14 °C, so the current spread largely reflects model timing differences on precipitation and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale regime shifts. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations through September 16 will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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