Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and multiple numerical models converge on a maximum temperature of 30–31 °C for Hong Kong on September 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This places the day near the long-term September climatological average of roughly 30 °C while keeping extreme outliers unlikely. Trader consensus reflected in the market—37.5 % on 31 °C and 26.5 % on 32 °C—aligns with this model agreement and the modest uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the peak by 1 °C. No significant synoptic changes, such as approaching fronts or tropical systems, are indicated in the latest guidance to alter this outlook before resolution by the Hong Kong Observatory’s official reading.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
31°C 38%
32°C 28%
30°C 18%
29°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
18%
31°C
38%
32°C
28%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 28%
30°C 18%
29°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
18%
31°C
38%
32°C
28%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and multiple numerical models converge on a maximum temperature of 30–31 °C for Hong Kong on September 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This places the day near the long-term September climatological average of roughly 30 °C while keeping extreme outliers unlikely. Trader consensus reflected in the market—37.5 % on 31 °C and 26.5 % on 32 °C—aligns with this model agreement and the modest uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the peak by 1 °C. No significant synoptic changes, such as approaching fronts or tropical systems, are indicated in the latest guidance to alter this outlook before resolution by the Hong Kong Observatory’s official reading.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা