Official Hong Kong Observatory station data recorded a peak of 33.1°C on September 12, 2026, around mid-afternoon, directly supporting the 99.8% market-implied probability for the 33°C outcome. This aligns with National Hurricane Center and regional model consensus under northeast monsoon flow, which delivered partly sunny skies, moderate easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permitted strong diurnal heating without significant convective cooling or sea-breeze moderation. Relative humidity readings in the 55–60% range during peak hours further facilitated the temperature rise, consistent with September climatological normals near 30–31°C but elevated by the specific synoptic pattern. The sole realistic challenge would be a post-hoc revision in the Observatory’s finalized “Absolute Daily Max” extract, though current raw observations make that highly improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
33°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,334 Vol.
$130,334 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,334 Vol.
$130,334 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,821 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,704 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,310 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$36,954 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$26,674 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$28,083 Vol.
100%
34°C
$7,215 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory station data recorded a peak of 33.1°C on September 12, 2026, around mid-afternoon, directly supporting the 99.8% market-implied probability for the 33°C outcome. This aligns with National Hurricane Center and regional model consensus under northeast monsoon flow, which delivered partly sunny skies, moderate easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permitted strong diurnal heating without significant convective cooling or sea-breeze moderation. Relative humidity readings in the 55–60% range during peak hours further facilitated the temperature rise, consistent with September climatological normals near 30–31°C but elevated by the specific synoptic pattern. The sole realistic challenge would be a post-hoc revision in the Observatory’s finalized “Absolute Daily Max” extract, though current raw observations make that highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$130,334শেষ তারিখ
Sep 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory station data recorded a peak of 33.1°C on September 12, 2026, around mid-afternoon, directly supporting the 99.8% market-implied probability for the 33°C outcome. This aligns with National Hurricane Center and regional model consensus under northeast monsoon flow, which delivered partly sunny skies, moderate easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permitted strong diurnal heating without significant convective cooling or sea-breeze moderation. Relative humidity readings in the 55–60% range during peak hours further facilitated the temperature rise, consistent with September climatological normals near 30–31°C but elevated by the specific synoptic pattern. The sole realistic challenge would be a post-hoc revision in the Observatory’s finalized “Absolute Daily Max” extract, though current raw observations make that highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$130,334শেষ তারিখ
Sep 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory station data recorded a peak of 33.1°C on September 12, 2026, around mid-afternoon, directly supporting the 99.8% market-implied probability for the 33°C outcome. This aligns with National Hurricane Center and regional model consensus under northeast monsoon flow, which delivered partly sunny skies, moderate easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permitted strong diurnal heating without significant convective cooling or sea-breeze moderation. Relative humidity readings in the 55–60% range during peak hours further facilitated the temperature rise, consistent with September climatological normals near 30–31°C but elevated by the specific synoptic pattern. The sole realistic challenge would be a post-hoc revision in the Observatory’s finalized “Absolute Daily Max” extract, though current raw observations make that highly improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা