**Latest global model consensus points to an overnight minimum near 19–20 °C in Beijing on September 18 under light southeast flow and patchy drizzle or low cloud.** This keeps the market closely balanced between the 24 °C+ bucket (45 %) and the 14 °C-or-below bucket (41.5 %), with single-degree contracts clustered around 18–19 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of any rain, which modulates radiative cooling, and the strength of the low-level jet that limits nocturnal temperature drops. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the event is less than 24 hours away, yet small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed can still move the realized minimum by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution runs from the European and Chinese models, which currently favor the 19 °C outcome while acknowledging residual uncertainty from variable boundary-layer moisture.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
14°C or below 74%
24°C or higher 74%
16°C 40%
17°C 39%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
74%
15°C
38%
16°C
40%
17°C
39%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
20%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
74%
14°C or below 74%
24°C or higher 74%
16°C 40%
17°C 39%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
74%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$15 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest global model consensus points to an overnight minimum near 19–20 °C in Beijing on September 18 under light southeast flow and patchy drizzle or low cloud.**
This keeps the market closely balanced between the 24 °C+ bucket (45 %) and the 14 °C-or-below bucket (41.5 %), with single-degree contracts clustered around 18–19 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of any rain, which modulates radiative cooling, and the strength of the low-level jet that limits nocturnal temperature drops. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the event is less than 24 hours away, yet small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed can still move the realized minimum by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution runs from the European and Chinese models, which currently favor the 19 °C outcome while acknowledging residual uncertainty from variable boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$15শেষ তারিখ
Sep 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest global model consensus points to an overnight minimum near 19–20 °C in Beijing on September 18 under light southeast flow and patchy drizzle or low cloud.**
This keeps the market closely balanced between the 24 °C+ bucket (45 %) and the 14 °C-or-below bucket (41.5 %), with single-degree contracts clustered around 18–19 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of any rain, which modulates radiative cooling, and the strength of the low-level jet that limits nocturnal temperature drops. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the event is less than 24 hours away, yet small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed can still move the realized minimum by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution runs from the European and Chinese models, which currently favor the 19 °C outcome while acknowledging residual uncertainty from variable boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$15শেষ তারিখ
Sep 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Latest global model consensus points to an overnight minimum near 19–20 °C in Beijing on September 18 under light southeast flow and patchy drizzle or low cloud.** This keeps the market closely balanced between the 24 °C+ bucket (45 %) and the 14 °C-or-below bucket (41.5 %), with single-degree contracts clustered around 18–19 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of any rain, which modulates radiative cooling, and the strength of the low-level jet that limits nocturnal temperature drops. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the event is less than 24 hours away, yet small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed can still move the realized minimum by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution runs from the European and Chinese models, which currently favor the 19 °C outcome while acknowledging residual uncertainty from variable boundary-layer moisture.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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