Traders see the 27°C outcome edging ahead at 53% implied probability amid closely bunched forecasts for Shenzhen’s September 19 low, reflecting model consensus from regional meteorological agencies on overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Typical September climatology places minimum temperatures near 25–26°C, but recent upper-level ridging has suppressed convection and allowed slightly warmer boundary-layer air to persist, keeping odds for 22–26°C clustered around 46–47%. Key variables include urban heat-island effects from the Pearl River Delta and any late-day sea-breeze moderation that could shave a degree or two. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau observations tonight will likely resolve the narrow spread before market close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 19?
27°C 99.5%
24°C 20%
26°C 20%
22°C 9%
$484 Vol.
$484 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 99.5%
24°C 20%
26°C 20%
22°C 9%
$484 Vol.
$484 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
$41 Vol.
No
22°C
$0 Vol.
No
23°C
$41 Vol.
No
24°C
$89 Vol.
No
25°C
$117 Vol.
No
26°C
$38 Vol.
No
27°C
$24 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$41 Vol.
No
29°C
$31 Vol.
No
30°C
$31 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$31 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 27°C outcome edging ahead at 53% implied probability amid closely bunched forecasts for Shenzhen’s September 19 low, reflecting model consensus from regional meteorological agencies on overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Typical September climatology places minimum temperatures near 25–26°C, but recent upper-level ridging has suppressed convection and allowed slightly warmer boundary-layer air to persist, keeping odds for 22–26°C clustered around 46–47%. Key variables include urban heat-island effects from the Pearl River Delta and any late-day sea-breeze moderation that could shave a degree or two. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau observations tonight will likely resolve the narrow spread before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$484শেষ তারিখ
Sep 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 27°C outcome edging ahead at 53% implied probability amid closely bunched forecasts for Shenzhen’s September 19 low, reflecting model consensus from regional meteorological agencies on overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Typical September climatology places minimum temperatures near 25–26°C, but recent upper-level ridging has suppressed convection and allowed slightly warmer boundary-layer air to persist, keeping odds for 22–26°C clustered around 46–47%. Key variables include urban heat-island effects from the Pearl River Delta and any late-day sea-breeze moderation that could shave a degree or two. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau observations tonight will likely resolve the narrow spread before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$484শেষ তারিখ
Sep 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Traders see the 27°C outcome edging ahead at 53% implied probability amid closely bunched forecasts for Shenzhen’s September 19 low, reflecting model consensus from regional meteorological agencies on overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Typical September climatology places minimum temperatures near 25–26°C, but recent upper-level ridging has suppressed convection and allowed slightly warmer boundary-layer air to persist, keeping odds for 22–26°C clustered around 46–47%. Key variables include urban heat-island effects from the Pearl River Delta and any late-day sea-breeze moderation that could shave a degree or two. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau observations tonight will likely resolve the narrow spread before market close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা