Recent forecasts from global models including GFS indicate Beijing's minimum temperature on September 9 will likely fall in the 13–15 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. A cold front that brought light rain on September 8 is expected to clear skies overnight, enhancing radiative cooling under light northerly winds and lower dew points near 10–12 °C. These conditions favor efficient surface heat loss compared with the seasonal average low of 17.5 °C, though modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing keeps 12 °C and 16 °C viable. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance from official agencies while noting the narrow window for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
19°C or higher 41%
14°C 36%
15°C 28%
13°C 25%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
6%
11°C
9%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
36%
15°C
28%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
7%
19°C or higher
41%
19°C or higher 41%
14°C 36%
15°C 28%
13°C 25%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
6%
11°C
9%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
36%
15°C
28%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
7%
19°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including GFS indicate Beijing's minimum temperature on September 9 will likely fall in the 13–15 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. A cold front that brought light rain on September 8 is expected to clear skies overnight, enhancing radiative cooling under light northerly winds and lower dew points near 10–12 °C. These conditions favor efficient surface heat loss compared with the seasonal average low of 17.5 °C, though modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing keeps 12 °C and 16 °C viable. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance from official agencies while noting the narrow window for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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