Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS and regional meteorological services points to an overnight low in Istanbul near 19–20°C on September 13, driven by partly cloudy skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and typical early-autumn radiative cooling under stable high pressure. These conditions produce limited nocturnal temperature drops compared with clearer, calmer nights, while urban heat retention and proximity to the Sea of Marmara add slight moderation. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 19°C and 20°C because small differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, or exact measurement station can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C. Lower outcomes around 18°C or below retain meaningful probability given model spread and historical variability for the date. Updated runs and real-time observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
15°C or below 94%
16°C 94%
17°C 94%
18°C 92%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
94%
16°C
94%
17°C
94%
18°C
92%
19°C
51%
20°C
51%
21°C
19%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 94%
16°C 94%
17°C 94%
18°C 92%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
94%
16°C
$32 Vol.
94%
17°C
$132 Vol.
94%
18°C
$157 Vol.
92%
19°C
$7 Vol.
51%
20°C
$7 Vol.
51%
21°C
$5 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS and regional meteorological services points to an overnight low in Istanbul near 19–20°C on September 13, driven by partly cloudy skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and typical early-autumn radiative cooling under stable high pressure. These conditions produce limited nocturnal temperature drops compared with clearer, calmer nights, while urban heat retention and proximity to the Sea of Marmara add slight moderation. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 19°C and 20°C because small differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, or exact measurement station can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C. Lower outcomes around 18°C or below retain meaningful probability given model spread and historical variability for the date. Updated runs and real-time observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$386শেষ তারিখ
Sep 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS and regional meteorological services points to an overnight low in Istanbul near 19–20°C on September 13, driven by partly cloudy skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and typical early-autumn radiative cooling under stable high pressure. These conditions produce limited nocturnal temperature drops compared with clearer, calmer nights, while urban heat retention and proximity to the Sea of Marmara add slight moderation. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 19°C and 20°C because small differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, or exact measurement station can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C. Lower outcomes around 18°C or below retain meaningful probability given model spread and historical variability for the date. Updated runs and real-time observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$386শেষ তারিখ
Sep 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS and regional meteorological services points to an overnight low in Istanbul near 19–20°C on September 13, driven by partly cloudy skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and typical early-autumn radiative cooling under stable high pressure. These conditions produce limited nocturnal temperature drops compared with clearer, calmer nights, while urban heat retention and proximity to the Sea of Marmara add slight moderation. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 19°C and 20°C because small differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, or exact measurement station can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C. Lower outcomes around 18°C or below retain meaningful probability given model spread and historical variability for the date. Updated runs and real-time observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা