Forecast consensus from major models points to an overnight low near 19–22°C for Istanbul on September 6 under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–20°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by dew points near 18°C and stable high pressure, while any increase in wind or residual cloud cover could limit the minimum. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows of 17–20°C, with current conditions reflecting a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer warmth. Traders weigh short-term model updates from ECMWF and GFS against local urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities balanced until final observations resolve the exact threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
14°C 50%
19°C 50%
13°C or below 44%
17°C 27%
13°C or below
44%
14°C
50%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 50%
19°C 50%
13°C or below 44%
17°C 27%
13°C or below
44%
14°C
50%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from major models points to an overnight low near 19–22°C for Istanbul on September 6 under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–20°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by dew points near 18°C and stable high pressure, while any increase in wind or residual cloud cover could limit the minimum. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows of 17–20°C, with current conditions reflecting a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer warmth. Traders weigh short-term model updates from ECMWF and GFS against local urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities balanced until final observations resolve the exact threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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