**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C low for Karachi on September 9, 2026, with 68.5% implied probability, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight minima near that threshold.** Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks and model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicate typical late-monsoon conditions: hot, humid air with southwest winds and dew points around 23–24°C limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations and 10-day forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no project a daily range of roughly 33–26°C, aligning with September climatology where average lows hover near 25°C. Minor model spread introduces small probabilities for 25°C or lower, but no significant cooling event or frontal passage has emerged to shift the distribution. Updated guidance through the evening will determine final resolution as the market closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Karachi on September 9?
25°C 11%
24°C 9%
23°C 2.7%
22°C <1%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
11%
26°C
69%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 11%
24°C 9%
23°C 2.7%
22°C <1%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
11%
26°C
69%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C low for Karachi on September 9, 2026, with 68.5% implied probability, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight minima near that threshold.** Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks and model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicate typical late-monsoon conditions: hot, humid air with southwest winds and dew points around 23–24°C limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations and 10-day forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no project a daily range of roughly 33–26°C, aligning with September climatology where average lows hover near 25°C. Minor model spread introduces small probabilities for 25°C or lower, but no significant cooling event or frontal passage has emerged to shift the distribution. Updated guidance through the evening will determine final resolution as the market closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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