Recent forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS runs show a building high-pressure ridge over northern France with northerly flow and mostly clear skies overnight August 21–22, favoring radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 12°C in central Paris. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 11–13°C, consistent with the 78.5% market-implied probability on those two outcomes, while historical August 22 climatology (average low 14°C) and the recent shift from warmer southwesterly flow explain why cooler values dominate trader consensus. Key resolution thresholds remain sensitive to final model updates and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts before dawn on the 22nd.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
12°C 42%
11°C 20%
13°C 16%
9°C or below 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
9%
10°C
2%
11°C
20%
12°C
42%
13°C
16%
14°C
8%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 42%
11°C 20%
13°C 16%
9°C or below 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
9%
10°C
$33 Vol.
2%
11°C
$45 Vol.
20%
12°C
$622 Vol.
42%
13°C
$107 Vol.
16%
14°C
$43 Vol.
8%
15°C
$308 Vol.
5%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
4%
18°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$13 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS runs show a building high-pressure ridge over northern France with northerly flow and mostly clear skies overnight August 21–22, favoring radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 12°C in central Paris. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 11–13°C, consistent with the 78.5% market-implied probability on those two outcomes, while historical August 22 climatology (average low 14°C) and the recent shift from warmer southwesterly flow explain why cooler values dominate trader consensus. Key resolution thresholds remain sensitive to final model updates and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts before dawn on the 22nd.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,249শেষ তারিখ
Aug 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS runs show a building high-pressure ridge over northern France with northerly flow and mostly clear skies overnight August 21–22, favoring radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 12°C in central Paris. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 11–13°C, consistent with the 78.5% market-implied probability on those two outcomes, while historical August 22 climatology (average low 14°C) and the recent shift from warmer southwesterly flow explain why cooler values dominate trader consensus. Key resolution thresholds remain sensitive to final model updates and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts before dawn on the 22nd.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,249শেষ তারিখ
Aug 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS runs show a building high-pressure ridge over northern France with northerly flow and mostly clear skies overnight August 21–22, favoring radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 12°C in central Paris. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 11–13°C, consistent with the 78.5% market-implied probability on those two outcomes, while historical August 22 climatology (average low 14°C) and the recent shift from warmer southwesterly flow explain why cooler values dominate trader consensus. Key resolution thresholds remain sensitive to final model updates and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts before dawn on the 22nd.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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