Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a minimum of 17°C for Paris on August 6 amid a post-heat cooldown, with clear skies, light northerly flow, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with seasonal August climatology, where overnight lows typically range 14–18°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from that baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 86.8% implied probability on 17°C, incorporates these stable conditions while acknowledging minor uncertainty from local urban heat-island effects or slight forecast adjustments before dawn. Historical analogs and current observations reinforce the narrow range around 16–17°C as the most likely outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
17°C 73.4%
16°C 6%
13°C 2%
15°C 2%
$21,906 Vol.
$21,906 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
13%
17°C
73%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 73.4%
16°C 6%
13°C 2%
15°C 2%
$21,906 Vol.
$21,906 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
13%
17°C
73%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a minimum of 17°C for Paris on August 6 amid a post-heat cooldown, with clear skies, light northerly flow, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with seasonal August climatology, where overnight lows typically range 14–18°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from that baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 86.8% implied probability on 17°C, incorporates these stable conditions while acknowledging minor uncertainty from local urban heat-island effects or slight forecast adjustments before dawn. Historical analogs and current observations reinforce the narrow range around 16–17°C as the most likely outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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