Ilhan Omar's commanding position in the Minnesota 5th congressional district reflects the area's entrenched Democratic advantage, with a Cook PVI of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 general election victory by roughly 50 points. Her decisive August 11, 2026, Democratic primary win with over 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers further solidified party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired state trooper who prevailed in his party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding suburbs with a large progressive voter base. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but is unlikely to alter the outcome absent a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$49,859 Vol.
$49,859 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ilhan Omar (D)
97%
John Nagel (R)
4%
$49,859 Vol.
$49,859 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ilhan Omar (D)
$18,256 Vol.
97%
John Nagel (R)
$31,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ilhan Omar's commanding position in the Minnesota 5th congressional district reflects the area's entrenched Democratic advantage, with a Cook PVI of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 general election victory by roughly 50 points. Her decisive August 11, 2026, Democratic primary win with over 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers further solidified party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired state trooper who prevailed in his party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding suburbs with a large progressive voter base. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but is unlikely to alter the outcome absent a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$49,859শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ilhan Omar's commanding position in the Minnesota 5th congressional district reflects the area's entrenched Democratic advantage, with a Cook PVI of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 general election victory by roughly 50 points. Her decisive August 11, 2026, Democratic primary win with over 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers further solidified party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired state trooper who prevailed in his party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding suburbs with a large progressive voter base. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but is unlikely to alter the outcome absent a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$49,859শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Ilhan Omar's commanding position in the Minnesota 5th congressional district reflects the area's entrenched Democratic advantage, with a Cook PVI of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 general election victory by roughly 50 points. Her decisive August 11, 2026, Democratic primary win with over 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers further solidified party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired state trooper who prevailed in his party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding suburbs with a large progressive voter base. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but is unlikely to alter the outcome absent a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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