Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strongly Democratic partisan voter index of D+32, reflecting consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 74% general election victory in 2024. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election rather than pursue higher office, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising activity in this Minneapolis-centered district, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. A Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general election outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually large national Republican wave or an unforeseen development affecting the Democratic candidate's viability between now and Election Day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$48,349 Vol.
$48,349 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$48,349 Vol.
$48,349 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,192 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$30,157 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strongly Democratic partisan voter index of D+32, reflecting consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 74% general election victory in 2024. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election rather than pursue higher office, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising activity in this Minneapolis-centered district, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. A Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general election outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually large national Republican wave or an unforeseen development affecting the Democratic candidate's viability between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$48,349শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strongly Democratic partisan voter index of D+32, reflecting consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 74% general election victory in 2024. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election rather than pursue higher office, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising activity in this Minneapolis-centered district, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. A Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general election outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually large national Republican wave or an unforeseen development affecting the Democratic candidate's viability between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$48,349শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strongly Democratic partisan voter index of D+32, reflecting consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 74% general election victory in 2024. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election rather than pursue higher office, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising activity in this Minneapolis-centered district, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. A Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general election outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually large national Republican wave or an unforeseen development affecting the Democratic candidate's viability between now and Election Day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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