North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its performance in Durham and Orange counties and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+23. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary after a close contest with challenger Nida Allam, then faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins exceeding 30 points and limited Republican infrastructure or fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural fundamentals. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Republican wave would be required to create meaningful upset risk.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$19,397 Vol.
$19,397 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$19,397 Vol.
$19,397 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,756 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$5,642 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its performance in Durham and Orange counties and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+23. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary after a close contest with challenger Nida Allam, then faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins exceeding 30 points and limited Republican infrastructure or fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural fundamentals. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Republican wave would be required to create meaningful upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$19,397শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its performance in Durham and Orange counties and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+23. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary after a close contest with challenger Nida Allam, then faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins exceeding 30 points and limited Republican infrastructure or fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural fundamentals. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Republican wave would be required to create meaningful upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$19,397শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its performance in Durham and Orange counties and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+23. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary after a close contest with challenger Nida Allam, then faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins exceeding 30 points and limited Republican infrastructure or fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural fundamentals. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Republican wave would be required to create meaningful upset risk.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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