Incumbent Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district due to its entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and prior presidential margins exceeding 30 points. The seat, anchored around Richmond and parts of Southside Virginia, saw redistricting that further reinforced its composition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. McClellan advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary and has raised over $1.1 million, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell show minimal fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited scope for such shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডVA-04 House Election Winner
VA-04 House Election Winner
$41,614 Vol.
$41,614 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jennifer McClellan (D)
96%
Robert Murray (R)
2%
$41,614 Vol.
$41,614 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jennifer McClellan (D)
$12,217 Vol.
96%
Robert Murray (R)
$29,397 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district due to its entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and prior presidential margins exceeding 30 points. The seat, anchored around Richmond and parts of Southside Virginia, saw redistricting that further reinforced its composition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. McClellan advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary and has raised over $1.1 million, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell show minimal fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$41,614শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district due to its entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and prior presidential margins exceeding 30 points. The seat, anchored around Richmond and parts of Southside Virginia, saw redistricting that further reinforced its composition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. McClellan advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary and has raised over $1.1 million, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell show minimal fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$41,614শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district due to its entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and prior presidential margins exceeding 30 points. The seat, anchored around Richmond and parts of Southside Virginia, saw redistricting that further reinforced its composition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. McClellan advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary and has raised over $1.1 million, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell show minimal fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited scope for such shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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