Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to secure the most seats in Quebec's first-past-the-post system for the October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections from models like Qc125 and 338Canada that award PQ 59-63 seats despite PLQ's recent popular vote edge. Recent April 14 Pallas Data and April 4 Léger polls show PLQ at 32-33% and PQ at 29-32%, tightening the race among francophones and in regions where PQ's vote efficiency shines, while PLQ dominates Montreal. The CAQ's 8.5% odds mirror its post-Legault resignation collapse (January 2026) and lack of rebound under new leader Christine Fréchette (elected April 12). PCQ rises to 12-15% but trails, with QS and PVQ negligible.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডকুইবেক সাধারণ নির্বাচনের বিজয়ী
কুইবেক সাধারণ নির্বাচনের বিজয়ী
PQ 50%
PLQ 39%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$443,584 Vol.
$443,584 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
50%
PLQ
39%
CAQ
9%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 50%
PLQ 39%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$443,584 Vol.
$443,584 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$46,801 Vol.
50%
PLQ
$51,726 Vol.
39%
CAQ
$43,810 Vol.
9%
PCQ
$145,632 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$106,954 Vol.
<1%
QS
$48,662 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to secure the most seats in Quebec's first-past-the-post system for the October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections from models like Qc125 and 338Canada that award PQ 59-63 seats despite PLQ's recent popular vote edge. Recent April 14 Pallas Data and April 4 Léger polls show PLQ at 32-33% and PQ at 29-32%, tightening the race among francophones and in regions where PQ's vote efficiency shines, while PLQ dominates Montreal. The CAQ's 8.5% odds mirror its post-Legault resignation collapse (January 2026) and lack of rebound under new leader Christine Fréchette (elected April 12). PCQ rises to 12-15% but trails, with QS and PVQ negligible.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$443,584শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to secure the most seats in Quebec's first-past-the-post system for the October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections from models like Qc125 and 338Canada that award PQ 59-63 seats despite PLQ's recent popular vote edge. Recent April 14 Pallas Data and April 4 Léger polls show PLQ at 32-33% and PQ at 29-32%, tightening the race among francophones and in regions where PQ's vote efficiency shines, while PLQ dominates Montreal. The CAQ's 8.5% odds mirror its post-Legault resignation collapse (January 2026) and lack of rebound under new leader Christine Fréchette (elected April 12). PCQ rises to 12-15% but trails, with QS and PVQ negligible.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ভলিউম
$443,584শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to secure the most seats in Quebec's first-past-the-post system for the October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections from models like Qc125 and 338Canada that award PQ 59-63 seats despite PLQ's recent popular vote edge. Recent April 14 Pallas Data and April 4 Léger polls show PLQ at 32-33% and PQ at 29-32%, tightening the race among francophones and in regions where PQ's vote efficiency shines, while PLQ dominates Montreal. The CAQ's 8.5% odds mirror its post-Legault resignation collapse (January 2026) and lack of rebound under new leader Christine Fréchette (elected April 12). PCQ rises to 12-15% but trails, with QS and PVQ negligible.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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