Trader assessments in this market center on the compressed timeline through the end of 2026 and the status of pending or potential legal proceedings against listed individuals. Factors include active federal or state investigations, scheduled court dates, appeals processes, and any shifts in prosecutorial priorities or enforcement resources that could produce an arrest. Recent developments center on the procedural posture of high-profile cases involving former officials and public figures, with traders weighing the likelihood of swift resolution versus extended litigation. Scheduled hearings or rulings within the next several months remain key variables that could alter implied probabilities before the market resolves.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$352,024 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
13%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
20%
Adam Schiff
4%
Barack Obama
1%
James Comey
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
21%
James Clapper
15%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Loretta Lynch
9%
Susan Rice
7%
Candace Owens
6%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
2%
Pam Bondi
1%
Tom Homan
7%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
8%
Lisa Cook
9%
Lee Jun-seok
9%
Joe Biden
2%
$352,024 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
$125,095 Vol.
13%
John Brennan
$18,168 Vol.
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,375 Vol.
20%
Adam Schiff
$16,325 Vol.
4%
Barack Obama
$28,351 Vol.
1%
James Comey
$9,577 Vol.
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,278 Vol.
21%
James Clapper
$6,686 Vol.
15%
Letitia James
$2,800 Vol.
13%
Hillary Clinton
$24,903 Vol.
3%
Bill Clinton
$1,887 Vol.
3%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 Vol.
9%
Susan Rice
$304 Vol.
7%
Candace Owens
$263 Vol.
6%
Gavin Newsom
$37,041 Vol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,755 Vol.
5%
John Kerry
$302 Vol.
2%
Pam Bondi
$1,710 Vol.
1%
Tom Homan
$38,826 Vol.
7%
Kash Patel
$530 Vol.
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,174 Vol.
8%
Lisa Cook
$3,102 Vol.
9%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Vol.
9%
Joe Biden
$5,402 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader assessments in this market center on the compressed timeline through the end of 2026 and the status of pending or potential legal proceedings against listed individuals. Factors include active federal or state investigations, scheduled court dates, appeals processes, and any shifts in prosecutorial priorities or enforcement resources that could produce an arrest. Recent developments center on the procedural posture of high-profile cases involving former officials and public figures, with traders weighing the likelihood of swift resolution versus extended litigation. Scheduled hearings or rulings within the next several months remain key variables that could alter implied probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$352,024মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader assessments in this market center on the compressed timeline through the end of 2026 and the status of pending or potential legal proceedings against listed individuals. Factors include active federal or state investigations, scheduled court dates, appeals processes, and any shifts in prosecutorial priorities or enforcement resources that could produce an arrest. Recent developments center on the procedural posture of high-profile cases involving former officials and public figures, with traders weighing the likelihood of swift resolution versus extended litigation. Scheduled hearings or rulings within the next several months remain key variables that could alter implied probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$352,024মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader assessments in this market center on the compressed timeline through the end of 2026 and the status of pending or potential legal proceedings against listed individuals. Factors include active federal or state investigations, scheduled court dates, appeals processes, and any shifts in prosecutorial priorities or enforcement resources that could produce an arrest. Recent developments center on the procedural posture of high-profile cases involving former officials and public figures, with traders weighing the likelihood of swift resolution versus extended litigation. Scheduled hearings or rulings within the next several months remain key variables that could alter implied probabilities before the market resolves.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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