**Trader consensus favors 100-119 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during April 14-21 at 45% implied probability, closely trailed by 80-99 at 28%, aligning with his established posting rhythm of 17-20 per day tracked over recent weeks.** This positioning stems from consistent high-volume activity, including 75 posts from April 7-11 (averaging 19 daily per market trackers), amid intense rhetoric on the Iran conflict—such as Easter weekend threats to Iranian infrastructure on April 5 and a ceasefire announcement on April 7—which spurred elevated output without subsequent slowdown. Earlier 2026 patterns show similar weekly totals around 120, with no scheduled events like primaries or summits poised to disrupt the baseline through the resolution window at April 21, 12:00 PM ET. While posting frenzies have occasionally pushed above 140, sustained presidential duties maintain trader expectations in the mid-three-digits range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert100-119 45%
80-99 30%
120–139 21%
140-159 18%
NEU
$14,138 Vol.
NEU
$14,138 Vol.
21. Apr. 2026
<20
<1%
20–39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
17%
80-99
30%
100-119
45%
120–139
21%
140-159
18%
160-179
3%
180-199
2%
200+
16%
100-119 45%
80-99 30%
120–139 21%
140-159 18%
NEU
$14,138 Vol.
NEU
$14,138 Vol.
21. Apr. 2026
<20
$12,113 Vol.
<1%
20–39
$654 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,043 Vol.
1%
60-79
$162 Vol.
17%
80-99
$50 Vol.
30%
100-119
$0 Vol.
45%
120–139
$0 Vol.
21%
140-159
$0 Vol.
18%
160-179
$23 Vol.
3%
180-199
$54 Vol.
2%
200+
$39 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus favors 100-119 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during April 14-21 at 45% implied probability, closely trailed by 80-99 at 28%, aligning with his established posting rhythm of 17-20 per day tracked over recent weeks.** This positioning stems from consistent high-volume activity, including 75 posts from April 7-11 (averaging 19 daily per market trackers), amid intense rhetoric on the Iran conflict—such as Easter weekend threats to Iranian infrastructure on April 5 and a ceasefire announcement on April 7—which spurred elevated output without subsequent slowdown. Earlier 2026 patterns show similar weekly totals around 120, with no scheduled events like primaries or summits poised to disrupt the baseline through the resolution window at April 21, 12:00 PM ET. While posting frenzies have occasionally pushed above 140, sustained presidential duties maintain trader expectations in the mid-three-digits range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$14,138Enddatum
21. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus favors 100-119 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during April 14-21 at 45% implied probability, closely trailed by 80-99 at 28%, aligning with his established posting rhythm of 17-20 per day tracked over recent weeks.** This positioning stems from consistent high-volume activity, including 75 posts from April 7-11 (averaging 19 daily per market trackers), amid intense rhetoric on the Iran conflict—such as Easter weekend threats to Iranian infrastructure on April 5 and a ceasefire announcement on April 7—which spurred elevated output without subsequent slowdown. Earlier 2026 patterns show similar weekly totals around 120, with no scheduled events like primaries or summits poised to disrupt the baseline through the resolution window at April 21, 12:00 PM ET. While posting frenzies have occasionally pushed above 140, sustained presidential duties maintain trader expectations in the mid-three-digits range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$14,138Enddatum
21. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus favors 100-119 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during April 14-21 at 45% implied probability, closely trailed by 80-99 at 28%, aligning with his established posting rhythm of 17-20 per day tracked over recent weeks.** This positioning stems from consistent high-volume activity, including 75 posts from April 7-11 (averaging 19 daily per market trackers), amid intense rhetoric on the Iran conflict—such as Easter weekend threats to Iranian infrastructure on April 5 and a ceasefire announcement on April 7—which spurred elevated output without subsequent slowdown. Earlier 2026 patterns show similar weekly totals around 120, with no scheduled events like primaries or summits poised to disrupt the baseline through the resolution window at April 21, 12:00 PM ET. While posting frenzies have occasionally pushed above 140, sustained presidential duties maintain trader expectations in the mid-three-digits range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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