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icon for How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

icon for How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

$36,378 Vol.

30. Apr. 2026
Polymarket

$36,378 Vol.

Polymarket

39.0%

$6,768 Vol.

Yes

38.5%

$11,501 Vol.

No

38.0%

$4,563 Vol.

No

37.5%

$3,027 Vol.

No

37.0%

$10,520 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.**President Donald Trump's job approval ratings plunged to a second-term low of 34% in late April 2026 per Reuters/Ipsos polling, reflecting trader consensus on surging gas prices and inflation tied to the ongoing U.S. war with Iran.** Polling averages from RealClearPolitics hovered near 39% by month's end, down from mid-40s earlier, with economic handling approval dipping to 27-31% in surveys like CNN and AP-NORC amid cost-of-living complaints. Key drivers include war escalation signals, Federal Reserve rate deliberations, and weak consumer sentiment data, eroding support among independents and suburban voters. As April concluded, markets eye final aggregates like Nate Silver's bulletin or RCP for the nadir, with congressional War Powers Resolution votes and 2026 midterm positioning as looming catalysts for volatility.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Volumen
$36,378
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.**President Donald Trump's job approval ratings plunged to a second-term low of 34% in late April 2026 per Reuters/Ipsos polling, reflecting trader consensus on surging gas prices and inflation tied to the ongoing U.S. war with Iran.** Polling averages from RealClearPolitics hovered near 39% by month's end, down from mid-40s earlier, with economic handling approval dipping to 27-31% in surveys like CNN and AP-NORC amid cost-of-living complaints. Key drivers include war escalation signals, Federal Reserve rate deliberations, and weak consumer sentiment data, eroding support among independents and suburban voters. As April concluded, markets eye final aggregates like Nate Silver's bulletin or RCP for the nadir, with congressional War Powers Resolution votes and 2026 midterm positioning as looming catalysts for volatility.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Volumen
$36,378
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „39.0%" mit 100%, gefolgt von „38.5%" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $36.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 8, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?" ist „39.0%" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „38.5%" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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