Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 10-17, 2026, clusters tightly around 300-319 posts (36.5% implied probability), 280-299 (26.7%), and 320-339 (21.3%), reflecting a sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 39 posts per day through 247 confirmed main feed posts, quotes, and reposts as of April 15 (replies excluded). Recent momentum stems from viral exchanges on South African race laws and President Ramaphosa's response, alongside Tesla Semi showcases, AI hardware tapeouts, and tech critiques like Apple/Google nudify apps, amplifying his cultural footprint amid SpaceX IPO filings and Artemis II's April 11 splashdown. With one full day and partial April 16 remaining until the April 17 12:00 PM ET close, the deadlock hinges on whether fresh controversies or quiet periods break the ~35-40 daily trajectory that defines his social media dominance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert300–319 37%
280–299 26.5%
320-339 21.3%
340-359 8.3%
$8,954,020 Vol.
$8,954,020 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
240–259
1%
260-279
7%
280–299
26%
300–319
37%
320-339
21%
340-359
8%
360-379
3%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500–519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300–319 37%
280–299 26.5%
320-339 21.3%
340-359 8.3%
$8,954,020 Vol.
$8,954,020 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
240–259
$698,213 Vol.
1%
260-279
$440,564 Vol.
7%
280–299
$361,782 Vol.
26%
300–319
$301,158 Vol.
37%
320-339
$369,338 Vol.
21%
340-359
$288,288 Vol.
8%
360-379
$285,220 Vol.
3%
380-399
$277,777 Vol.
1%
400-419
$227,497 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$286,869 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$469,564 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$336,809 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$329,730 Vol.
<1%
500–519
$264,187 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$266,458 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$265,358 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$183,725 Vol.
<1%
580+
$348,990 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 10-17, 2026, clusters tightly around 300-319 posts (36.5% implied probability), 280-299 (26.7%), and 320-339 (21.3%), reflecting a sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 39 posts per day through 247 confirmed main feed posts, quotes, and reposts as of April 15 (replies excluded). Recent momentum stems from viral exchanges on South African race laws and President Ramaphosa's response, alongside Tesla Semi showcases, AI hardware tapeouts, and tech critiques like Apple/Google nudify apps, amplifying his cultural footprint amid SpaceX IPO filings and Artemis II's April 11 splashdown. With one full day and partial April 16 remaining until the April 17 12:00 PM ET close, the deadlock hinges on whether fresh controversies or quiet periods break the ~35-40 daily trajectory that defines his social media dominance.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$8,954,020Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 10-17, 2026, clusters tightly around 300-319 posts (36.5% implied probability), 280-299 (26.7%), and 320-339 (21.3%), reflecting a sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 39 posts per day through 247 confirmed main feed posts, quotes, and reposts as of April 15 (replies excluded). Recent momentum stems from viral exchanges on South African race laws and President Ramaphosa's response, alongside Tesla Semi showcases, AI hardware tapeouts, and tech critiques like Apple/Google nudify apps, amplifying his cultural footprint amid SpaceX IPO filings and Artemis II's April 11 splashdown. With one full day and partial April 16 remaining until the April 17 12:00 PM ET close, the deadlock hinges on whether fresh controversies or quiet periods break the ~35-40 daily trajectory that defines his social media dominance.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$8,954,020Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 10-17, 2026, clusters tightly around 300-319 posts (36.5% implied probability), 280-299 (26.7%), and 320-339 (21.3%), reflecting a sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 39 posts per day through 247 confirmed main feed posts, quotes, and reposts as of April 15 (replies excluded). Recent momentum stems from viral exchanges on South African race laws and President Ramaphosa's response, alongside Tesla Semi showcases, AI hardware tapeouts, and tech critiques like Apple/Google nudify apps, amplifying his cultural footprint amid SpaceX IPO filings and Artemis II's April 11 splashdown. With one full day and partial April 16 remaining until the April 17 12:00 PM ET close, the deadlock hinges on whether fresh controversies or quiet periods break the ~35-40 daily trajectory that defines his social media dominance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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