Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets as the frontrunner at 48.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X posts from April 13-15, reflecting his recent slowdown to a daily average of 16 posts per XTracker data, with just 19 total over April 9-11 and 16 on April 11 alone amid subdued Starship prep buzz and Tesla's weak Q1 sales dampening hype. The 40-64 range trails at 28.5%, capturing fears of further quiet amid no major catalysts like earnings or launches, while higher buckets languish below 15% given historical volatility but recency favoring moderation—traders eye weekend lulls in his typically erratic posting tied to viral political and space discourse. Odds could shift with sudden meme storms or xAI announcements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert65-89 49%
40-64 29%
90-114 14%
115-139 3.5%
NEU
$32,764 Vol.
NEU
$32,764 Vol.
15. Apr. 2026
<40
2%
40-64
29%
65-89
49%
90-114
14%
115-139
3%
140–164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 49%
40-64 29%
90-114 14%
115-139 3.5%
NEU
$32,764 Vol.
NEU
$32,764 Vol.
15. Apr. 2026
<40
$3,645 Vol.
2%
40-64
$750 Vol.
29%
65-89
$2,257 Vol.
49%
90-114
$2,558 Vol.
14%
115-139
$1,172 Vol.
3%
140–164
$1,003 Vol.
1%
165-189
$3,398 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$5,178 Vol.
1%
215-239
$8,174 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,630 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets as the frontrunner at 48.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X posts from April 13-15, reflecting his recent slowdown to a daily average of 16 posts per XTracker data, with just 19 total over April 9-11 and 16 on April 11 alone amid subdued Starship prep buzz and Tesla's weak Q1 sales dampening hype. The 40-64 range trails at 28.5%, capturing fears of further quiet amid no major catalysts like earnings or launches, while higher buckets languish below 15% given historical volatility but recency favoring moderation—traders eye weekend lulls in his typically erratic posting tied to viral political and space discourse. Odds could shift with sudden meme storms or xAI announcements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$32,764Enddatum
15. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets as the frontrunner at 48.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X posts from April 13-15, reflecting his recent slowdown to a daily average of 16 posts per XTracker data, with just 19 total over April 9-11 and 16 on April 11 alone amid subdued Starship prep buzz and Tesla's weak Q1 sales dampening hype. The 40-64 range trails at 28.5%, capturing fears of further quiet amid no major catalysts like earnings or launches, while higher buckets languish below 15% given historical volatility but recency favoring moderation—traders eye weekend lulls in his typically erratic posting tied to viral political and space discourse. Odds could shift with sudden meme storms or xAI announcements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$32,764Enddatum
15. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets as the frontrunner at 48.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X posts from April 13-15, reflecting his recent slowdown to a daily average of 16 posts per XTracker data, with just 19 total over April 9-11 and 16 on April 11 alone amid subdued Starship prep buzz and Tesla's weak Q1 sales dampening hype. The 40-64 range trails at 28.5%, capturing fears of further quiet amid no major catalysts like earnings or launches, while higher buckets languish below 15% given historical volatility but recency favoring moderation—traders eye weekend lulls in his typically erratic posting tied to viral political and space discourse. Odds could shift with sudden meme storms or xAI announcements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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