Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 1160-1279 tweets in April 2026, with the 1240-1279 bin leading at 14.6% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 40-45 posts per day as X's outspoken owner and pop culture lightning rod. This pricing stems from March's resolved 1320-1359 total (averaging ~43 daily) and the past week's April 10-16 data showing 267 tweets over six days (45/day average per XTracker), amid consistent engagement on Tesla updates, memes, and political jabs without major spikes. The closely contested top bins highlight competitive dynamics driven by daily variance— quieter periods could favor 1000-1039 (12.4%), while viral controversies or SpaceX announcements might push toward 1280+—with uncertainty peaking over the remaining two weeks as real-time events dictate momentum shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert1240-1279 14.6%
1000-1039 13.1%
1160-1199 13.0%
1200-1239 12.8%
$7,877,168 Vol.
$7,877,168 Vol.
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580–599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
13%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
4%
1120-1159
9%
1160-1199
13%
1200-1239
13%
1240-1279
15%
1280-1319
11%
1320-1359
7%
1360-1399
5%
1400-1439
2%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680–1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1240-1279 14.6%
1000-1039 13.1%
1160-1199 13.0%
1200-1239 12.8%
$7,877,168 Vol.
$7,877,168 Vol.
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580–599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
13%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
4%
1120-1159
9%
1160-1199
13%
1200-1239
13%
1240-1279
15%
1280-1319
11%
1320-1359
7%
1360-1399
5%
1400-1439
2%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680–1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 1160-1279 tweets in April 2026, with the 1240-1279 bin leading at 14.6% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 40-45 posts per day as X's outspoken owner and pop culture lightning rod. This pricing stems from March's resolved 1320-1359 total (averaging ~43 daily) and the past week's April 10-16 data showing 267 tweets over six days (45/day average per XTracker), amid consistent engagement on Tesla updates, memes, and political jabs without major spikes. The closely contested top bins highlight competitive dynamics driven by daily variance— quieter periods could favor 1000-1039 (12.4%), while viral controversies or SpaceX announcements might push toward 1280+—with uncertainty peaking over the remaining two weeks as real-time events dictate momentum shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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