Florida’s 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The open seat, created by incumbent Byron Donalds’ retirement to pursue the governorship, drew a crowded Republican primary field that concluded with Jim Schwartzel’s nomination victory on August 18. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 contest against Democrat Victor Arias. Trader consensus on Republican victory at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical turnout patterns in the district. A major scandal involving the nominee, unusually low Republican participation, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-19 Wahlsieger
FL-19 Wahlsieger
$17,791 Vol.
$17,791 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
95%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$17,791 Vol.
$17,791 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$6,159 Vol.
95%
Demokratische Partei
$11,632 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The open seat, created by incumbent Byron Donalds’ retirement to pursue the governorship, drew a crowded Republican primary field that concluded with Jim Schwartzel’s nomination victory on August 18. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 contest against Democrat Victor Arias. Trader consensus on Republican victory at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical turnout patterns in the district. A major scandal involving the nominee, unusually low Republican participation, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$17,791Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The open seat, created by incumbent Byron Donalds’ retirement to pursue the governorship, drew a crowded Republican primary field that concluded with Jim Schwartzel’s nomination victory on August 18. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 contest against Democrat Victor Arias. Trader consensus on Republican victory at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical turnout patterns in the district. A major scandal involving the nominee, unusually low Republican participation, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,791Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The open seat, created by incumbent Byron Donalds’ retirement to pursue the governorship, drew a crowded Republican primary field that concluded with Jim Schwartzel’s nomination victory on August 18. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 contest against Democrat Victor Arias. Trader consensus on Republican victory at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical turnout patterns in the district. A major scandal involving the nominee, unusually low Republican participation, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen