Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–16°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 6, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) April 2 forecast projecting a 15°C midday peak under partly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 14°C but spanning 12–18°C. This spread arises from model divergences in post-shower clearing speed, cloud cover evolution during peak heating hours, and cold air advection from recent frontal passages, tempering early April climatological highs averaging 17°C. New 12z global model runs and MGM updates today could sharpen differentiation, as short-range forecast uncertainty remains high just 48 hours out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
16°C 31%
15°C 29%
14°C 24%
17°C 11%
NEU
NEU
6. Apr. 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
8%
14°C
24%
15°C
29%
16°C
31%
17°C
11%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 31%
15°C 29%
14°C 24%
17°C 11%
NEU
NEU
6. Apr. 2026
9°C or below
$663 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$565 Vol.
1%
11°C
$668 Vol.
1%
12°C
$189 Vol.
3%
13°C
$233 Vol.
8%
14°C
$712 Vol.
24%
15°C
$375 Vol.
29%
16°C
$463 Vol.
31%
17°C
$219 Vol.
11%
18°C
$195 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$222 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–16°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 6, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) April 2 forecast projecting a 15°C midday peak under partly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 14°C but spanning 12–18°C. This spread arises from model divergences in post-shower clearing speed, cloud cover evolution during peak heating hours, and cold air advection from recent frontal passages, tempering early April climatological highs averaging 17°C. New 12z global model runs and MGM updates today could sharpen differentiation, as short-range forecast uncertainty remains high just 48 hours out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$4,505Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–16°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 6, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) April 2 forecast projecting a 15°C midday peak under partly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 14°C but spanning 12–18°C. This spread arises from model divergences in post-shower clearing speed, cloud cover evolution during peak heating hours, and cold air advection from recent frontal passages, tempering early April climatological highs averaging 17°C. New 12z global model runs and MGM updates today could sharpen differentiation, as short-range forecast uncertainty remains high just 48 hours out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,505Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–16°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 6, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) April 2 forecast projecting a 15°C midday peak under partly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 14°C but spanning 12–18°C. This spread arises from model divergences in post-shower clearing speed, cloud cover evolution during peak heating hours, and cold air advection from recent frontal passages, tempering early April climatological highs averaging 17°C. New 12z global model runs and MGM updates today could sharpen differentiation, as short-range forecast uncertainty remains high just 48 hours out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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