Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on April 5, with model ensembles converging on basin highs of 74-77°F amid a warming trend from building high pressure ridging over the West. Recent Area Forecast Discussions note cooler-than-normal conditions through April 2 giving way to significant heating Friday through Sunday, driven by lighter onshore flow and potential delayed burn-off of persistent marine layer stratus under a strengthening inversion. NOAA's spring outlook favors above-normal temperatures across California, aligning with historical April averages near 71°F downtown but elevated by La Niña transition dynamics. Differentiation hinges on stratus clearance timing—prolonged clouds cap peaks at 72-73°F, while early dissipation boosts 76-77°F odds. Watch daily NWS updates for refined guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 5. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 5. April?
76-77°F 23%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 20%
78-79°F 14%
67°F oder darunter
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86°F oder höher
3%
76-77°F 23%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 20%
78-79°F 14%
67°F oder darunter
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86°F oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on April 5, with model ensembles converging on basin highs of 74-77°F amid a warming trend from building high pressure ridging over the West. Recent Area Forecast Discussions note cooler-than-normal conditions through April 2 giving way to significant heating Friday through Sunday, driven by lighter onshore flow and potential delayed burn-off of persistent marine layer stratus under a strengthening inversion. NOAA's spring outlook favors above-normal temperatures across California, aligning with historical April averages near 71°F downtown but elevated by La Niña transition dynamics. Differentiation hinges on stratus clearance timing—prolonged clouds cap peaks at 72-73°F, while early dissipation boosts 76-77°F odds. Watch daily NWS updates for refined guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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