Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers across Lucknow on August 23, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. Monsoon dynamics, including increased cloud cover and moisture, align with typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs while reducing the odds of 33°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance shows lower daytime heating compared to clearer periods earlier in the month, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 85% of trader consensus. New IMD extended-range updates and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and rainfall intensity, directly influencing resolution around these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 23. August?
31°C 44%
32°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
44%
32°C
27%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 44%
32°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
44%
32°C
27%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers across Lucknow on August 23, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. Monsoon dynamics, including increased cloud cover and moisture, align with typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs while reducing the odds of 33°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance shows lower daytime heating compared to clearer periods earlier in the month, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 85% of trader consensus. New IMD extended-range updates and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and rainfall intensity, directly influencing resolution around these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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