Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a trough line over central and eastern Uttar Pradesh, are driving trader consensus toward a 31–32°C high in Lucknow on August 27, with widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate to heavy rainfall expected to limit daytime heating. Recent IMD observations show maximum temperatures near 30–34°C amid high humidity (80–94%) and daily showers that have kept readings 1–3°C below normal at times. Numerical weather models indicate consistent steering patterns favoring continued moisture influx, though variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. The broad probability distribution reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around exact precipitation amounts and local convective development ahead of final 24-hour updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 27. August?
31°C 34%
32°C 23%
30°C 20%
29°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
11%
30°C
20%
31°C
34%
32°C
23%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 23%
30°C 20%
29°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
11%
30°C
20%
31°C
34%
32°C
23%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a trough line over central and eastern Uttar Pradesh, are driving trader consensus toward a 31–32°C high in Lucknow on August 27, with widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate to heavy rainfall expected to limit daytime heating. Recent IMD observations show maximum temperatures near 30–34°C amid high humidity (80–94%) and daily showers that have kept readings 1–3°C below normal at times. Numerical weather models indicate consistent steering patterns favoring continued moisture influx, though variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. The broad probability distribution reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around exact precipitation amounts and local convective development ahead of final 24-hour updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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