**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$90,466 Vol.
$90,466 Vol.
13. Juni 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$90,466 Vol.
$90,466 Vol.
13. Juni 2026
27°C or below
$507 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,472 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,504 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,242 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,354 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,543 Vol.
No
33°C
$27,211 Vol.
No
34°C
$12,937 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$14,760 Vol.
No
36°C
$13,058 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$5,879 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations.
The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$90,466Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations.
The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$90,466Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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