Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 21 under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and high surface pressure that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This setup aligns with the ongoing warm anomaly across interior Spain, where temperatures have run 3–6°C above seasonal normals through mid-September. Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around that value while showing only modest spread for 33°C or higher. Official AEMET updates and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift exact resolution, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts alter peak readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 21. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 21. September?
32°C 56%
33°C 27%
31°C 12%
34°C 12%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
26°C oder niedriger
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
12%
32°C
56%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C oder höher
4%
32°C 56%
33°C 27%
31°C 12%
34°C 12%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
26°C oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C
$1,372 Vol.
56%
33°C
$0 Vol.
27%
34°C
$0 Vol.
12%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 21 under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and high surface pressure that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This setup aligns with the ongoing warm anomaly across interior Spain, where temperatures have run 3–6°C above seasonal normals through mid-September. Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around that value while showing only modest spread for 33°C or higher. Official AEMET updates and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift exact resolution, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,387Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 21 under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and high surface pressure that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This setup aligns with the ongoing warm anomaly across interior Spain, where temperatures have run 3–6°C above seasonal normals through mid-September. Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around that value while showing only modest spread for 33°C or higher. Official AEMET updates and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift exact resolution, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,387Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 21 under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and high surface pressure that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This setup aligns with the ongoing warm anomaly across interior Spain, where temperatures have run 3–6°C above seasonal normals through mid-September. Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around that value while showing only modest spread for 33°C or higher. Official AEMET updates and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift exact resolution, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts alter peak readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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