Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Korean Peninsula, with light easterly winds and partly cloudy skies supporting a daytime high near 28°C for Incheon on September 19. Recent runs show minimal diurnal spread and no significant frontal passages or moisture influx, aligning with climatological norms for late September where highs typically range 25–29°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 28°C and 28% for 27°C, incorporates this model agreement while allowing for minor observational variance at official stations; probabilities for 29°C or higher remain low at 13% absent unexpected warming. Updated guidance ahead of the peak heating window could refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 19. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 19. September?
28°C 57%
27°C 27%
29°C 13%
26°C 4%
NEU
$15,806 Vol.
NEU
$15,806 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
23°C oder niedriger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
27%
28°C
57%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 57%
27°C 27%
29°C 13%
26°C 4%
NEU
$15,806 Vol.
NEU
$15,806 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
23°C oder niedriger
$345 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,136 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,600 Vol.
4%
27°C
$3,253 Vol.
27%
28°C
$5,075 Vol.
57%
29°C
$1,936 Vol.
13%
30°C
$931 Vol.
3%
31°C
$476 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
33°C oder höher
$544 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Korean Peninsula, with light easterly winds and partly cloudy skies supporting a daytime high near 28°C for Incheon on September 19. Recent runs show minimal diurnal spread and no significant frontal passages or moisture influx, aligning with climatological norms for late September where highs typically range 25–29°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 28°C and 28% for 27°C, incorporates this model agreement while allowing for minor observational variance at official stations; probabilities for 29°C or higher remain low at 13% absent unexpected warming. Updated guidance ahead of the peak heating window could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$15,806Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Korean Peninsula, with light easterly winds and partly cloudy skies supporting a daytime high near 28°C for Incheon on September 19. Recent runs show minimal diurnal spread and no significant frontal passages or moisture influx, aligning with climatological norms for late September where highs typically range 25–29°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 28°C and 28% for 27°C, incorporates this model agreement while allowing for minor observational variance at official stations; probabilities for 29°C or higher remain low at 13% absent unexpected warming. Updated guidance ahead of the peak heating window could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,806Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Korean Peninsula, with light easterly winds and partly cloudy skies supporting a daytime high near 28°C for Incheon on September 19. Recent runs show minimal diurnal spread and no significant frontal passages or moisture influx, aligning with climatological norms for late September where highs typically range 25–29°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 28°C and 28% for 27°C, incorporates this model agreement while allowing for minor observational variance at official stations; probabilities for 29°C or higher remain low at 13% absent unexpected warming. Updated guidance ahead of the peak heating window could refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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