Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts indicate stable high pressure over the Korean Peninsula, with northeasterly flow and partly clear skies favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling for Incheon on September 19. Official guidance centers the daily minimum near 19°C, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability on that outcome and secondary support for 18–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no major shifts in the past 48 hours and minimal precipitation risk to disrupt temperature trends. Traders appear to weigh the typical early-autumn diurnal range—highs near 28–29°C—against consistent guidance from surface observations and short-range models, keeping extreme deviations below 17°C or above 21°C at low single-digit probabilities. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 19. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 19. September?
19°C 37%
18°C 31%
20°C 22%
21°C 19%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
18%
19°C
43%
20°C
24%
21°C
19%
22°C
11%
23°C
1%
24°C oder höher
1%
19°C 37%
18°C 31%
20°C 22%
21°C 19%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
$41 Vol.
1%
15°C
$41 Vol.
1%
16°C
$41 Vol.
5%
17°C
$41 Vol.
7%
18°C
$105 Vol.
18%
19°C
$325 Vol.
43%
20°C
$715 Vol.
24%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C oder höher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts indicate stable high pressure over the Korean Peninsula, with northeasterly flow and partly clear skies favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling for Incheon on September 19. Official guidance centers the daily minimum near 19°C, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability on that outcome and secondary support for 18–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no major shifts in the past 48 hours and minimal precipitation risk to disrupt temperature trends. Traders appear to weigh the typical early-autumn diurnal range—highs near 28–29°C—against consistent guidance from surface observations and short-range models, keeping extreme deviations below 17°C or above 21°C at low single-digit probabilities. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,352Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts indicate stable high pressure over the Korean Peninsula, with northeasterly flow and partly clear skies favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling for Incheon on September 19. Official guidance centers the daily minimum near 19°C, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability on that outcome and secondary support for 18–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no major shifts in the past 48 hours and minimal precipitation risk to disrupt temperature trends. Traders appear to weigh the typical early-autumn diurnal range—highs near 28–29°C—against consistent guidance from surface observations and short-range models, keeping extreme deviations below 17°C or above 21°C at low single-digit probabilities. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,352Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts indicate stable high pressure over the Korean Peninsula, with northeasterly flow and partly clear skies favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling for Incheon on September 19. Official guidance centers the daily minimum near 19°C, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability on that outcome and secondary support for 18–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no major shifts in the past 48 hours and minimal precipitation risk to disrupt temperature trends. Traders appear to weigh the typical early-autumn diurnal range—highs near 28–29°C—against consistent guidance from surface observations and short-range models, keeping extreme deviations below 17°C or above 21°C at low single-digit probabilities. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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