**Forecast models as of September 15, 2026, indicate the overnight low in Incheon on September 17 will most likely fall in the 17–19 °C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.** Easterly winds of 5–8 m/s under partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while surface high pressure maintains stable conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently lists an 18 °C minimum, and ensemble runs (GFS, ECMWF) show similar central tendencies near 17–19 °C, with hourly profiles suggesting the coldest readings occurring just before dawn. Uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps the three leading contracts closely matched; any late-model shift toward clearer skies could favor the lower end (17 °C or below), while persistent easterly flow and higher dew points would support 19 °C. Updated model guidance and official briefings on September 16–17 will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 17. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 17. September?
18°C 40%
19°C 28%
17°C 25%
20°C 12%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
25%
18°C
32%
19°C
28%
20°C
12%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C oder höher
2%
18°C 40%
19°C 28%
17°C 25%
20°C 12%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
$301 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
11%
17°C
$92 Vol.
25%
18°C
$173 Vol.
32%
19°C
$859 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
12%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$62 Vol.
3%
24°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models as of September 15, 2026, indicate the overnight low in Incheon on September 17 will most likely fall in the 17–19 °C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.**
Easterly winds of 5–8 m/s under partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while surface high pressure maintains stable conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently lists an 18 °C minimum, and ensemble runs (GFS, ECMWF) show similar central tendencies near 17–19 °C, with hourly profiles suggesting the coldest readings occurring just before dawn.
Uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps the three leading contracts closely matched; any late-model shift toward clearer skies could favor the lower end (17 °C or below), while persistent easterly flow and higher dew points would support 19 °C. Updated model guidance and official briefings on September 16–17 will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,487Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models as of September 15, 2026, indicate the overnight low in Incheon on September 17 will most likely fall in the 17–19 °C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.**
Easterly winds of 5–8 m/s under partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while surface high pressure maintains stable conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently lists an 18 °C minimum, and ensemble runs (GFS, ECMWF) show similar central tendencies near 17–19 °C, with hourly profiles suggesting the coldest readings occurring just before dawn.
Uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps the three leading contracts closely matched; any late-model shift toward clearer skies could favor the lower end (17 °C or below), while persistent easterly flow and higher dew points would support 19 °C. Updated model guidance and official briefings on September 16–17 will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,487Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models as of September 15, 2026, indicate the overnight low in Incheon on September 17 will most likely fall in the 17–19 °C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.** Easterly winds of 5–8 m/s under partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while surface high pressure maintains stable conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently lists an 18 °C minimum, and ensemble runs (GFS, ECMWF) show similar central tendencies near 17–19 °C, with hourly profiles suggesting the coldest readings occurring just before dawn. Uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps the three leading contracts closely matched; any late-model shift toward clearer skies could favor the lower end (17 °C or below), while persistent easterly flow and higher dew points would support 19 °C. Updated model guidance and official briefings on September 16–17 will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen