Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 14. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 14. Juli?
26°C 100.0%
18°C oder weniger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$39,917 Vol.
$39,917 Vol.
14. Juli 2026
18°C oder weniger
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Ja
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
26°C 100.0%
18°C oder weniger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$39,917 Vol.
$39,917 Vol.
14. Juli 2026
18°C oder weniger
$457 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$1,520 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$1,640 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$1,071 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$4,063 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$4,745 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$2,857 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$6,656 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$8,123 Vol.
Ja
27°C
$6,471 Vol.
Nein
28°C oder höher
$2,314 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$39,917Enddatum
14. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$39,917Enddatum
14. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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