Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus for Miami on September 24 indicate a daily high in the upper 80s, driven by persistent tropical moisture, scattered showers and thunderstorms, and light south-to-east winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-September patterns in South Florida, where convective activity often caps temperatures below 90°F while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 75°F. Market-implied odds weighting 90-91°F highest reflect trader views on forecast uncertainty, possible localized clearing, or slight model warming trends, with lower-probability bins for 92°F+ or sub-86°F capturing tail risks from steering patterns or intensity shifts. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 24. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 24. September?
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 35%
92-93°F 23%
86-87°F 14%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
77°F oder niedriger
7%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
14%
96°F oder höher
4%
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 35%
92-93°F 23%
86-87°F 14%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
77°F oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
14%
88-89°F
$3 Vol.
22%
90-91°F
$27 Vol.
41%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
23%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
14%
96°F oder höher
$27 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus for Miami on September 24 indicate a daily high in the upper 80s, driven by persistent tropical moisture, scattered showers and thunderstorms, and light south-to-east winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-September patterns in South Florida, where convective activity often caps temperatures below 90°F while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 75°F. Market-implied odds weighting 90-91°F highest reflect trader views on forecast uncertainty, possible localized clearing, or slight model warming trends, with lower-probability bins for 92°F+ or sub-86°F capturing tail risks from steering patterns or intensity shifts. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$56Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus for Miami on September 24 indicate a daily high in the upper 80s, driven by persistent tropical moisture, scattered showers and thunderstorms, and light south-to-east winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-September patterns in South Florida, where convective activity often caps temperatures below 90°F while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 75°F. Market-implied odds weighting 90-91°F highest reflect trader views on forecast uncertainty, possible localized clearing, or slight model warming trends, with lower-probability bins for 92°F+ or sub-86°F capturing tail risks from steering patterns or intensity shifts. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$56Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus for Miami on September 24 indicate a daily high in the upper 80s, driven by persistent tropical moisture, scattered showers and thunderstorms, and light south-to-east winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-September patterns in South Florida, where convective activity often caps temperatures below 90°F while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 75°F. Market-implied odds weighting 90-91°F highest reflect trader views on forecast uncertainty, possible localized clearing, or slight model warming trends, with lower-probability bins for 92°F+ or sub-86°F capturing tail risks from steering patterns or intensity shifts. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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