Current forecast consensus from NWS and multiple models points to an overnight low in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 24, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph advecting cooler maritime air under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup limits radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs near 66–68°F, positioning the 54–55°F range as the strongest market-implied outcome at 38% probability. Traders appear to discount warmer bins above 60°F or colder extremes below 50°F given the stable pattern and absence of significant model shifts in the latest runs, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 24. September?
54-55°F 40%
66°F oder höher 39%
47°F oder darunter 38%
48-49°F 36%
47°F oder darunter
38%
48-49°F
36%
50-51 °F
25%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
40%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
17%
60-61 °F
36%
62-63°F
36%
64-65°F
36%
66°F oder höher
39%
54-55°F 40%
66°F oder höher 39%
47°F oder darunter 38%
48-49°F 36%
47°F oder darunter
38%
48-49°F
36%
50-51 °F
25%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
40%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
17%
60-61 °F
36%
62-63°F
36%
64-65°F
36%
66°F oder höher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from NWS and multiple models points to an overnight low in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 24, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph advecting cooler maritime air under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup limits radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs near 66–68°F, positioning the 54–55°F range as the strongest market-implied outcome at 38% probability. Traders appear to discount warmer bins above 60°F or colder extremes below 50°F given the stable pattern and absence of significant model shifts in the latest runs, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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